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Reference El Nino Winter 2026-27 — NOAA Puts Very Strong Event Above 90%, With a 69% Chance of a Record Since 1950 NOAA's Aug. 13, 2026 ENSO discussion keeps an El Nino Advisory in effect and gives a greater than 90% chance of a very strong event in fall and winter 2026-27. Science · Aug 31 Closed July 2026 — Hottest Month on Record for the Contiguous United States July 2026 averaged 76.9F across the contiguous US — the hottest month in NOAA's 132-year record, edging July 1936 and 2012 — with record-warm overnight lows averaging 64.2F. Science · Aug 23

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