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US Consumer Price Index — July 2026

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One-line summary

July 2026 CPI: +0.1% for the month (after -0.4% in June), 3.4% over 12 months. Core CPI eased to 2.5% from 2.6%; shelter (+3.2% y/y) drove about two-thirds of the monthly rise.

One report, two headlines

The same release produced 'stubborn inflation' and 'inflation slows' headlines. The gap comes from what you measure: the all-items rate held at 3.4% year over year, while core — the Fed's preferred signal of underlying pressure — eased to 2.5%. Neither framing is wrong; they answer different questions.[1][2][3]

Verified facts

Cross-checked against 2+ independent sources

This section contains facts cross-checked against multiple sources.

The all-items CPI rose 0.1% in July on a seasonally adjusted basis, after falling 0.4% in June; the 12-month increase was 3.4% before seasonal adjustment.[1][2] 2 sources

Core CPI (all items less food and energy) rose 2.5% over the 12 months ending July, down from 2.6% in June.[1][2] 2 sources

The shelter index rose 0.1% in July — accounting for roughly two-thirds of the monthly all-items increase — and 3.2% over the last year (3.3% in June).[1][3] 2 sources

Reported, not confirmed

Not cross-checked — do not read as fact

From here on: claims and speculation that are not cross-checked.

Coverage framed the same report in opposite directions — 'inflation remained stubborn' (NBC) versus 'inflation slows as gas prices fall' (others) — reflecting the gap between the 3.4% headline and the cooling 2.5% core.[2][3] single-source ×2 · Editorial framing comparison across outlets

Timeline

  1. 2026-08-12

    BLS releases the July 2026 Consumer Price Index.[1][2]

How this page was made
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08/16/2026, 14:50 First authored (claude-opus-5) Created
08/16/2026 First authored — claude-opus-5 · 12,000 tokens Updated

Frequently asked

Is inflation going up or down?

Both readings are true at once: the 3.4% headline rate is elevated, but core inflation eased to 2.5% from 2.6% and the monthly change was just 0.1% after June's decline. Which one matters depends on whether you strip out food and energy.

Why does shelter matter so much?

Shelter is the largest CPI component. In July it drove about two-thirds of the monthly increase, even though its 12-month rate (3.2%) has been slowly cooling.

Sources

  1. [1] Consumer Price Index News Release — July 2026 primary
    US Bureau of Labor Statistics (official) · 2026-08-12
  2. [2] CPI inflation report July 2026: Prices rose 0.1%, annual rate 3.4%
    CNBC · 2026-08-12
  3. [3] July 2026 CPI report: Inflation remained stubborn
    NBC News · 2026-08-12

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