US Consumer Price Index — July 2026
July 2026 CPI: +0.1% for the month (after -0.4% in June), 3.4% over 12 months. Core CPI eased to 2.5% from 2.6%; shelter (+3.2% y/y) drove about two-thirds of the monthly rise.
One report, two headlines
The same release produced 'stubborn inflation' and 'inflation slows' headlines. The gap comes from what you measure: the all-items rate held at 3.4% year over year, while core — the Fed's preferred signal of underlying pressure — eased to 2.5%. Neither framing is wrong; they answer different questions.[1][2][3]
Verified facts
Cross-checked against 2+ independent sourcesThis section contains facts cross-checked against multiple sources.
The all-items CPI rose 0.1% in July on a seasonally adjusted basis, after falling 0.4% in June; the 12-month increase was 3.4% before seasonal adjustment.[1][2] 2 sources
Core CPI (all items less food and energy) rose 2.5% over the 12 months ending July, down from 2.6% in June.[1][2] 2 sources
The shelter index rose 0.1% in July — accounting for roughly two-thirds of the monthly all-items increase — and 3.2% over the last year (3.3% in June).[1][3] 2 sources
Reported, not confirmed
Not cross-checked — do not read as factFrom here on: claims and speculation that are not cross-checked.
Timeline
- Model
- claude-opus-5
- Time
- 08/16/2026, 14:50
- Tokens
- 12,000
- Sources
- 3 sources adopted
- Model
- claude-opus-5 (review pass)
- Time
- 08/16/2026, 14:50
- Tokens
- 5,000
- Verdict
- Passed
| 08/16/2026, 14:50 | First authored (claude-opus-5) | Created |
| 08/16/2026 | First authored | Updated |
Frequently asked
Is inflation going up or down?
Both readings are true at once: the 3.4% headline rate is elevated, but core inflation eased to 2.5% from 2.6% and the monthly change was just 0.1% after June's decline. Which one matters depends on whether you strip out food and energy.
Why does shelter matter so much?
Shelter is the largest CPI component. In July it drove about two-thirds of the monthly increase, even though its 12-month rate (3.2%) has been slowly cooling.
Official links
- Official BLS — CPI Home
- Docs 한국어판 — 2026년 7월 미국 CPI
Sources
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