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How to Read HUD Fair Market Rents for FY 2027 — 40th Percentile Rents, Floors and Reevaluation Areas

Reference updated · Sources 8 · 0 corrections applied
One-line summary

HUD FY 2027 FMRs (2-bedroom, $/month gross rent; effective Oct 1, 2026): national non-metro rent $1,014 vs $973; median area FMR $1,017 (this page's calc); 13 listed entries stay on FY 2026.

Key figures (HUD Fair Market Rents, FY 2027)

As of 14 November 2026, 00:07 KST (retrieved by this page at that time); latest listed on the agency page at retrieval: the FY 2027 Fair Market Rents, announced in the Federal Register notice of September 1, 2026 (91 FR 56156) and published as a county-level Excel file on HUD User's Fair Market Rents page. The notice gives an effective date of October 1, 2026, except where a valid reevaluation request keeps FY 2026 FMRs in place. Primary source: https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2026-09-01/pdf/2026-17891.pdf[1][2][6]

Indicator (two-bedroom Fair Market Rents, dollars per month, gross rent)Previous: FY 2026 (notice [4]; revised county file effective May 21, 2026 [3])Current: FY 2027 (notice [1]; county file [2])Change vs previous (this page's subtraction)Change vs year ago (annual figures, so the previous column is also the year-ago value; % change, this page's calculation)Evidence type
National non-metropolitan rent (one minimum benchmark; an area's floor is the lower of its State and the national value)9731,014+41+4.2%HUD FY 2026 and FY 2027 FMR notices [4][1], section III.H
Median two-bedroom FMR across FMR areas (this page's calculation, unweighted)973.51,017+43.5+4.5%CLAIM (this page's calculation from [2] and [3])
FMR areas in the county-level file2,6222,606-16-0.6%CLAIM (this page's count from [2] and [3])
FMR areas whose two-bedroom FMR equals the national non-metropolitan rent (not necessarily floored areas)313372+59+18.8%CLAIM (this page's count from [2] and [3])
Highest two-bedroom FMR in a full scan of the county file (Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA MSA)4,2144,254+40+0.9%HUD FY 2026 and FY 2027 FMR schedules [8][7]; same values in the county files [3][2]
[1][2][3][4]

Comparison basis: FMRs are whole dollars of monthly gross rent (shelter rent plus utilities) as printed. Area-level figures are this page's calculations from the two county-level files: the key is hud_area_code, each area is counted once (all county rows of an area carry the same FMRs, checked by script), the 16 areas present only in the FY 2026 file are left out of change figures, and every FY 2027 area is present in the FY 2026 file. Medians are taken over the 2,606 areas without population weights, and percentages are computed from the whole-dollar values and rounded to one decimal. The FY 2026 values come from the revised county file that the page labels Effective May 21, 2026; the revision notice itself (91 FR 21301) was not read here.[2][3]

In three lines

1. HUD's FY 2027 national non-metropolitan rent, the benchmark for minimum FMRs, is $1,014, up from $973 for FY 2026.
2. Across 2,606 FMR areas the median two-bedroom FMR is $1,017, and the median area change is +4.2% (this page's calculation, unweighted).
3. 466 areas have a lower two-bedroom FMR than in FY 2026; for 40 of them the FY 2027 value is within $1 of 90% of the FY 2026 value (this page's test on printed whole dollars).[1][2][3][4]

What a Fair Market Rent is

A 40th percentile gross rent, not an average. The notice says: "HUD's FMR calculations represent HUD's best effort to estimate the 40th percentile gross rent paid by recent movers into standard quality units in each FMR area." The FMR page adds that FMRs, as defined in 24 CFR 888.113, are estimates of 40th percentile gross rents for standard quality units within a metropolitan area or nonmetropolitan county. They set payment standards in the Housing Choice Voucher program and limits in several other HUD programs.[1][6]

How the FY 2027 numbers are built. "For FY 2027 FMRs, HUD uses the U.S. Census Bureau's 5-year ACS data collected between 2020 and 2024 as the ''base rents'' for the FMR calculations." HUD then applies a recent-mover factor from 2024 data, a gross rent inflation factor for 2024 to 2025, and a trend factor to FY 2027. Two-bedroom FMRs are computed first; other bedroom sizes follow from bedroom ratios, with 8.7 percent added to three-bedroom and 7.7 percent to four-bedroom estimates.[1]

Floors in both directions. Each area's two-bedroom FMR must be at least the lower of its State minimum rent and the national non-metropolitan rent, so the floor is not $1,014 for every area: "For FY 2027, the national nonmetropolitan rent is $1,014." Decreases are limited: "Accordingly, if the current year's FMRs are less than 90 percent of the prior year's FMRs as calculated by the above methodology, HUD sets the current year's FMRs equal to 90 percent of the prior year's FMRs."[1]

Reading in pairs

A methodology change between editions. For FY 2026 HUD combined private and CPI rent inflation with weights of approximately 64 and 36 percent; for FY 2027 the notice gives approximately 55 and 45 percent, and it replaces the local CPI utilities index, which the Bureau of Labor Statistics discontinued, with a composite of electricity, natural gas, fuel oil and water/sewer/trash prices. Year-to-year FMR changes therefore mix market change with method change, and this page does not separate the two.[1][4]

Sixteen fewer areas. The FY 2026 revised file has 2,622 FMR areas and the FY 2027 file 2,606 (this page's count). The 16 missing names are all Exception Areas, 12 in Connecticut and 4 in Puerto Rico; the FY 2026 notice said such areas would keep the designation until their FMRs converge with the rest of their MSA. The FY 2027 notice does not discuss them, so why each was dropped is not established.[2][3][4]

Published FY 2027 values are not in effect everywhere. The reevaluation list says: "Valid reevaluation requests may postpone the FY 2027 FMRs from going into effect." It lists 13 entries where FY 2026 FMRs remain in effect as of October 1, 2026, including a ZIP-code-specific entry (ZIP Codes 03766 and 03784 in Grafton County, NH), Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI and San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA, and 6 more entries with valid requests where FY 2027 FMRs are in effect. For the listed entries the FMR in effect may be the FY 2026 value rather than the FY 2027 column of the county file.[2][3][5]

Largest moves. By this page's calculation the largest increase is Jackson County, CO, from $989 to $1,485 (+50.2%). For 40 areas the FY 2027 value is within $1 of 90% of the FY 2026 value; this is a ratio of printed whole-dollar values consistent with HUD's 10% decrease limit, but the files do not flag which areas HUD capped. These are single-area figures from rounded dollar values; the files do not give reasons for individual changes.[2][3]

Dates and next release

Dates kept apart. Notice published: September 1, 2026 (91 FR 56156); comments and reevaluation requests due October 1, 2026; FY 2027 FMRs effective October 1, 2026 except in reevaluation areas. Previous edition: FY 2026 notice of August 22, 2025 (90 FR 41096), effective October 1, 2025; revised FY 2026 file labelled Effective May 21, 2026. Base data: 5-year ACS 2020-2024.[1][4][5][6]

Next steps. Reevaluation data are due by January 8, 2027, and the notice says HUD will post revised FMRs in April of 2027 with an accompanying Federal Register notice; data arriving later go into the FY 2028 FMRs. These are plans stated in the notice; the FY 2028 publication date is not established.[1][5]

Verified facts

Each fact is labelled with its evidence type

Each fact in this section carries its evidence type — either cross-checked against independent sources, or confirmed from a single authoritative record.

HUD's FY 2027 Fair Market Rent notice sets the national non-metropolitan rent at $1,014, against $973 in the FY 2026 notice.[1] 1 source · authoritative record

The FY 2027 FMRs take effect on October 1, 2026, unless HUD receives a valid request for reevaluation of an area's FMRs.[1] 1 source · authoritative record

HUD limits annual FMR decreases to 10 percent: FMRs may be no less than 90 percent of the prior year's FMRs for units with the same number of bedrooms.[1] 1 source · authoritative record

HUD lists 13 entries, including one for two ZIP Codes in Grafton County, NH, where FY 2026 FMRs remain in effect as of October 1, 2026 because of reevaluation requests, with survey data due by January 8, 2027.[5] 1 source · authoritative record

HUD's FY 2027 FMR schedule gives Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA MSA a two-bedroom FMR of $4,254, the highest value in the FY 2027 county-level file.[2][7] 1 source · authoritative record

Statements and readings

Not counted as facts — each item shows what kind of statement it is

From here on: statements not counted as facts — single-source reports, the issuing body’s own statements, and this page’s own readings, each labeled.

Across 2,606 FMR areas the median two-bedroom FMR change from FY 2026 to FY 2027 is +4.2% (unweighted); 466 areas decreased, 40 of them to within $1 of 90% of the FY 2026 value, and Jackson County, CO rose most (+50.2%).[2][3] Stated by the issuing body itself (primary source) · not independently verified · this page's calculation from the FY 2027 and revised FY 2026 county-level files

The FY 2027 file has 16 fewer FMR areas than the revised FY 2026 file; all 16 are Connecticut or Puerto Rico Exception Areas, and the reason for each is not established.[2][3][4] Stated by the issuing body itself (primary source) · not independently verified · this page's count from the two county-level files

Timeline

  1. 2025-08-22

    FY 2026 FMR notice published; national non-metropolitan rent $973.[4]

  2. 2026-09-01

    FY 2027 FMR notice published; national non-metropolitan rent $1,014.[1]

  3. 2026-10-01

    FY 2027 FMRs take effect except for 13 listed reevaluation entries.[1][5]

What this page could not establish

These are questions this page tried to answer and could not. The gaps are left open rather than filled with a guess.
  • Why were 16 Exception Areas dropped for FY 2027?
    The FY 2027 notice does not discuss them.
  • How much of each area's change comes from the new utility method?
    The notice does not publish a split.
How this page was made
Written
Model
claude-opus-5
Time
11/14/2026, 00:06
Body characters
7,111
Sources
8 sources adopted
Reviewed
Model
ChatGPT (checked sources on the web)
Time
11/14/2026, 00:28
Verdict
Revision required
Show revision history (3)
11/14/2026, 09:00 First authored (claude-opus-5) Created
11/14/2026 First version. Read in full the FY 2027 and FY 2026 FMR notices, the FY 2027 and revised FY 2026 county-level files, the FY 2027 reevaluation list and the HUD User Fair Market Rents page; quotations are complete sentences matched against the source text of the document named. — claude-opus-5 Updated
11/14/2026 Revised after review: the FMR page is read as visible text only; the Effective August 4, 2027 and August 29, 2026 strings sit inside HTML comments, so the paragraph, claim and unknown about them are removed. Area figures are re-run by script with the area key (hud_area_code), de-duplication check, handling of FY 2026-only areas and rounding rule stated; the 40 areas are described as within $1 of 90% of the FY 2026 value on printed whole dollars. The $973 benchmark cites the FY 2026 notice, the floor is described as the lower of the State and national values, the reevaluation list is described as 13 listed entries including a ZIP-code entry without asserting which column is in use, and the Santa Cruz values are attributed to the FY 2026 and FY 2027 FMR schedules, newly added as sources. — claude-opus-5 Updated

Frequently asked

What is the Fair Market Rent for FY 2027?

It varies by area: the FY 2027 two-bedroom FMR runs from $517 in parts of Puerto Rico to $4,254 in Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA, with a median of $1,017 across 2,606 areas (this page's calculation); the latest published edition at retrieval is the September 1, 2026 notice.[1][2]

When do FY 2027 Fair Market Rents take effect?

October 1, 2026, except for 13 listed entries (one of them ZIP Codes 03766 and 03784 in Grafton County, NH) where valid reevaluation requests keep FY 2026 FMRs in effect while HUD reviews survey data due by January 8, 2027.[1][5]

Is the Fair Market Rent the average rent?

No: it is HUD's estimate of the 40th percentile gross rent (shelter rent plus utilities) paid by recent movers into standard quality units, so about 40% of such units rent for less.[1][6]

How much did Fair Market Rents rise for FY 2027?

The national non-metropolitan rent rose 4.2%, from $973 to $1,014; across areas the median two-bedroom change is +4.2% by this page's calculation, while 466 areas decreased.[1][2][3]

Can a Fair Market Rent fall?

Yes, by up to 10% a year: HUD sets FMRs at no less than 90% of the prior year's; for 40 areas the FY 2027 value is within $1 of 90% of the FY 2026 value by this page's test on printed whole dollars.[1][2][3]

Why did HUD change how it calculates FMRs for FY 2027?

The FY 2027 notice says the Bureau of Labor Statistics discontinued the local housing fuels and utilities CPI, so HUD now uses a composite of 4 utility components; it also changed the private and CPI rent weights from about 64/36 to 55/45.[1][4]

When will revised FY 2027 FMRs be published?

April of 2027 is the plan stated in the notice for posting revised FMRs after reevaluations; the exact date is not established.[1]

Sources

  1. [1] Fair Market Rents for the Housing Choice Voucher Program, Moderate Rehabilitation Single Room Occupancy Program, and Other Programs, Fiscal Year 2027 (91 FR 56156), Federal Register PDF primary
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research (official) · 2026-09-01
    https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR-2026-09-01/pdf/2026-17891.pdf
  2. [2] FY 2027 Fair Market Rents, county-level data (FY27_FMRs.xlsx) primary
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research (official) · 2026-09-01
    https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/fmr2027/FY27_FMRs.xlsx
  3. [3] Revised FY 2026 Fair Market Rents, county-level data (FY26_FMRs_revised.xlsx) primary
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research (official) · 2026-05-21
    https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/fmr2026/FY26_FMRs_revised.xlsx
  4. [4] Fair Market Rents ... Fiscal Year 2026 (90 FR 41096), Federal Register primary
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research (official) · 2025-08-22
    https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/08/22/2025-16060/fair-market-rents-for-the-housing-choice-voucher-program-moderate-rehabilitation-single-room
  5. [5] Reevaluation Requests for FY 2027 Fair Market Rents (HUD), PDF primary
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research (official) · 2026-10-01
    https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/fmr2027/Reevaluation-Requests-FY27-FMRs.pdf
  6. [6] Fair Market Rents (HUD User data set page) primary
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research (official) · 2026-11-14
    https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr.html
  7. [7] FY 2027 Schedule of Metropolitan & Non-Metropolitan Fair Market Rents (HUD), PDF primary
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research (official) · 2026-09-01
    https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/fmr2027/FY2027_FMR_Schedule.pdf
  8. [8] FY 2026 Schedule of Metropolitan & Non-Metropolitan Fair Market Rents (HUD), PDF primary
    U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, Office of Policy Development and Research (official) · 2025-08-22
    https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr/fmr2026/FY2026_FMR_Schedule.pdf

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