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How to Read the USDA Cotton Ginnings Report — Running Bales Ginned to Date by State, Upland and Pima

Reference updated · Sources 4 · 0 corrections applied
One-line summary

USDA Cotton Ginnings, U.S. running bales (excluding linters) of the 2026 crop ginned to October 15, 2026: 1,653,100, up 735,950 from October 1; 2025 not available.

Key figures (Cotton Ginnings, October 22, 2026 report)

As of 30 October 2026, 02:35 KST; most recently published report: Cotton Ginnings, released October 22, 2026, by the USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), counting U.S. running bales of the 2026 crop ginned through October 15, 2026. The NASS October 2026 calendar lists the October 22 and October 9 releases at 12:00 pm ET; the publication page lists the next releases on November 10, November 23, December 10 and December 22, 2026, at 12:00 PM without a time zone. Primary source: https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/796115/ctgn4326.txt[1][3][4]

Indicator (running bales ginned to date, excluding linters)Previous (to October 1, 2026)Current (to October 15, 2026)Change vs previousChange vs year ago: not available (2025 NA); change vs October 15, 2024 shownEvidence type
All cotton, United States917,1501,653,100+735,950 bales (this page's calculation)-27.6% (this page's calculation) from 2,284,800levels: USDA NASS primary statistical record (October 1 and October 15 releases); changes: this page's calculation
Upland, United States917,1501,639,750+722,600 bales (this page's calculation)-28.2% (this page's calculation) from 2,284,700levels: USDA NASS primary statistical record (October 1 and October 15 releases); changes: this page's calculation
American Pima, United States0 (published as zero)13,350+13,350 bales (this page's calculation)100 bales on October 15, 2024 (published)levels: USDA NASS primary statistical record (October 1 and October 15 releases); changes: this page's calculation
All cotton, Texas744,000928,750+184,750 bales (this page's calculation)-20.3% (this page's calculation) from 1,164,700levels: USDA NASS primary statistical record (October 1 and October 15 releases); changes: this page's calculation
All cotton, Arkansas75,100213,500+138,400 bales (this page's calculation)-37.5% (this page's calculation) from 341,700levels: USDA NASS primary statistical record (October 1 and October 15 releases); changes: this page's calculation
All cotton, Mississippi29,600159,150+129,550 bales (this page's calculation)-49.5% (this page's calculation) from 314,850levels: USDA NASS primary statistical record (October 1 and October 15 releases); changes: this page's calculation
[1][2]

Comparison basis: bale counts are as published and are cumulative for the crop year to the stated date; two-week changes are this page's subtraction of the October 1 figures (from the October 9 release) from the October 15 figures, and the October 15, 2024 comparison, two years earlier, is this page's calculation rounded to one decimal, because the 2025 column is published as not available. Running bales are counted as ginned, not converted to 480-pound bales. The two releases, publication page and calendar are all from USDA and count as one source.[1][2]

In three lines

1. Cotton Ginnings counts U.S. running bales ginned to date for the current crop, by state, twice a month during the season.
2. By October 15, 2026, 1,653,100 running bales of the 2026 crop had been ginned, up 735,950 from October 1 and 27.6% below the same date in 2024.
3. The 2025 figures are not available, and the next reports are listed for November 10 and November 23, 2026.[1][2]

What the report measures (in NASS's words)

"This file contains the number of running bales ginned to date for all cotton and American-Pima cotton, by state; county ginnings released with mid-month state ginnings; March report also includes 480-lb. bales ginned and average bale weight by state."[3]

How the count is made. "The cotton ginnings survey is an enumeration of all active gins and every effort is made to obtain a report from all ginners." "Ginners are asked to report the number of Upland and American Pima bales ginned prior to the data collection date." "If a completed report is not received from an active gin, the bales ginned are estimated using administrative data or imputed using current survey data for neighboring gins and the previously reported data for the imputed gin." "A final survey is conducted after gins finish ginning for the season."[1]

Missing year. Every 2025 state entry is marked (NA); a footnote to the 2025 column attributes the missing data to the lapse in Federal funding: "Data not available due to the lapse in Federal funding." State entries marked (D) are withheld to avoid disclosing individual operations, so the published states do not add up to the U.S. total.[1]

Reading in pairs

To date vs the latest two weeks. The figures are running totals. Ginnings between October 1 and October 15, 2026 were 735,950 bales (this page's subtraction of 917,150 from 1,653,100); in 2024 the same two weeks added 1,139,900 bales (from 1,144,900 to 2,284,800).[1][2]

Pace vs crop size. By October 15, 2026, ginnings were 27.6% below the same date in 2024 and 4.1% below 2023 (this page's calculation). The report counts bales ginned so far, not the size of the crop, and does not explain why the pace differs between years.[1][2]

Texas vs the rest. Texas accounted for 56.2% of U.S. bales ginned by October 15, 2026, down from 81.1% on October 1 (this page's calculation), while cumulative totals also increased in states including Arkansas, Mississippi and Louisiana.[1][2]

Upland vs American Pima. Of the 1,653,100 bales, 1,639,750 were Upland and 13,350 American Pima; on October 1 no Pima bales had been reported.[1][2]

Census vs revision. "Cotton ginnings estimates are based on a census of all known ginners and therefore, have no sampling variability." Even so: "Cotton ginnings estimates are subject to revision in the annual report released in May and are based on a thorough review of all available data."[1]

Verified facts

Each fact is labelled with its evidence type

Each fact in this section carries its evidence type — either cross-checked against independent sources, or confirmed from a single authoritative record.

U.S. cotton ginnings of the 2026 crop totaled 1,653,100 running bales by October 15, 2026, excluding linters.[1] 1 source · authoritative record

Texas ginned 928,750 running bales of the 2026 crop by October 15, 2026, the most of any state shown.[1] 1 source · authoritative record

U.S. cotton ginnings of the 2026 crop totaled 917,150 running bales by October 1, 2026.[2] 1 source · authoritative record

The October 22 report lists October 15, 2025 ginnings as not available, citing the lapse in federal funding.[1] 1 source · authoritative record

The USDA publication page lists the next Cotton Ginnings releases on November 10 and November 23, 2026.[3] 1 source · authoritative record

Statements and readings

Not counted as facts — each item shows what kind of statement it is

From here on: statements not counted as facts — single-source reports, the issuing body’s own statements, and this page’s own readings, each labeled.

U.S. cotton ginnings rose by 735,950 running bales between October 1 and October 15, 2026.[1][2] This page’s own calculation or reading · This page's calculation from the October 9 and October 22 releases

U.S. ginnings by October 15, 2026 were 27.6% below the 2,284,800 bales ginned by October 15, 2024.[1] This page’s own calculation or reading · This page's calculation from the October 22 release

Timeline

  1. 2026-10-09

    NASS releases Cotton Ginnings with bales ginned to October 1, 2026.[2][4]

  2. 2026-10-22

    NASS releases Cotton Ginnings with bales ginned to October 15, 2026.[1][4]

  3. 2026-11-10

    Next Cotton Ginnings release listed on the USDA publication page.[3]

  4. 2026-11-23

    Following Cotton Ginnings release listed on the USDA publication page.[3]

What this page could not establish

These are questions this page tried to answer and could not. The gaps are left open rather than filled with a guess.
  • How did 2026 ginnings compare with 2025 at the same date?
    The 2025 figures were not published because of the lapse in federal funding.
  • Why was the 2026 ginning pace slower than in 2024?
    The report gives counts without explaining them.
How this page was made
Written
Model
claude-opus-5
Time
10/30/2026, 02:40
Body characters
5,691
Sources
4 sources adopted
Reviewed
Model
ChatGPT (checked sources on the web)
Time
10/30/2026, 02:45
Verdict
Revision required
Show revision history (3)
10/30/2026, 09:00 First authored (claude-opus-5) Created
10/30/2026 First version. Read in full the USDA NASS Cotton Ginnings text releases of October 22, 2026 (state, Upland, Pima and county tables plus methodology) and October 9, 2026, plus the publication page and the NASS October 2026 release calendar; quotations are complete sentences matched against the source text. — claude-opus-5 Updated
10/30/2026 Revised after review: the year-ago column and comparison note state that 2025 is not available and that the comparison shown is with October 15, 2024, two years earlier; the 2025 fact and missing-year paragraph describe the (NA) entries and the column footnote; the Texas share sentence no longer says when other states began ginning; the Pima paragraph cites both releases; the 480-pound bale answer follows the publication description. — claude-opus-5 Updated

Frequently asked

How many running bales of 2026-crop cotton had been ginned in the U.S. by October 15, 2026?

1,653,100 running bales, excluding linters: 1,639,750 Upland and 13,350 American Pima, according to the NASS report of October 22, 2026.[1]

Are U.S. cotton ginnings figures for October 15, 2026 in 480-pound bales?

No: the October 15, 2026 figures are running bales as ginned; the publication description says the March report also includes 480-lb. bales ginned and average bale weight by state.[1][3]

How did U.S. ginnings by October 15, 2026 compare with the same date in 2025?

No 2025 comparison exists: the 2025 column is marked not available due to the lapse in federal funding; against October 15, 2024 (2,284,800 bales), 2026 was 27.6% lower by this page's calculation.[1]

How many running bales were ginned in the U.S. between October 1 and October 15, 2026?

735,950 bales by this page's subtraction: the cumulative total rose from 917,150 on October 1 to 1,653,100 on October 15, 2026.[1][2]

Which state had ginned the most running bales by October 15, 2026?

Texas, with 928,750 running bales, followed by Arkansas (213,500) and Mississippi (159,150) among states shown; some states are withheld as (D).[1]

Could the October 15, 2026 U.S. cotton ginnings figures change later?

Yes, in the annual report released in May, after a review of all available data; the 2026-crop counts come from a census of known gins, so they have no sampling variability.[1]

Sources

  1. [1] Cotton Ginnings, released October 22, 2026 (USDA NASS, text release) primary
    U.S. Department of Agriculture, NASS (official) · 2026-10-22
    https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/796115/ctgn4326.txt
  2. [2] Cotton Ginnings, released October 9, 2026 (USDA NASS, text release) primary
    U.S. Department of Agriculture, NASS (official) · 2026-10-09
    https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/sites/default/release-files/796100/ctgn4126.txt
  3. [3] Cotton Ginnings publication page (USDA ESMIS, page as current on 2026-10-30) primary
    U.S. Department of Agriculture, NASS (official) · 2026-10-30
    https://esmis.nal.usda.gov/publication/cotton-ginnings
  4. [4] NASS Reports by Date calendar, October 2026 primary
    U.S. Department of Agriculture, NASS (official) · 2026-10-30
    https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/Calendar/reports_by_date.php?view=c&js=1&month=10&year=2026

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