The Fed's Target Rate Is a Range, and Has Been Since December 16, 2008 — 3.75-4.00% After the September 2026 Increase
The Federal Reserve's table is headed "target federal funds rate or range". Rows before December 16, 2008 carry one number; from that date, two. Since the September 16, 2026 increase: 3.75-4.00%.
The table is headed "rate or range"
The Federal Reserve's own page does not commit to one word. Its policy-rate table is headed "FOMC's target federal funds rate or range, change (basis points) and level", with the level in a column headed "Level (%)"**. The words "or range" are doing the work** — the same table holds both kinds of entry, and which kind you get depends on the date.[1]
The table dates its newest row September 17, 2026 — an increase of 25 basis points to a level of 3.75-4.00. The FOMC announced the increase on September 16, 2026: its statement says the Committee decided "to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent". That is two numbers, not one. Writing that the Fed's rate is 3.75% drops the upper bound; writing 4.00% drops the lower one.[1][2]
The change happened on a specific date, and the table shows it
Reading down the table, the format changes on December 16, 2008. That row gives the level as 0-0.25. The rows above it give one number — October 29, 2008 reads 1.00, and December 11, 2007 reads 4.25.[1]
The cut that made the change was itself a range. The December 16, 2008 row records the decrease as "75-100" basis points rather than a single figure. The narrative on the same page puts it the same way — implementation changed "particularly so since late 2008 when the FOMC established a near-zero target range for the federal funds rate".[1]
So historical comparisons cross a format boundary. Comparing a 2026 level with a 2006 level is comparing a band with a point. This page does not say how such comparisons should be made — only that the two are not the same kind of figure.[1]
Setting the range and hitting it are different jobs
The FOMC sets the range; keeping the market rate inside it takes separate tools. The page says that from December 2015 the Federal Reserve used overnight reverse repurchase agreements (ON RRPs) "as a supplementary policy tool, as necessary, to help control the federal funds rate and keep it in the target range set by the FOMC".[1]
It also records later steps: term and overnight repos in September 2019 to keep reserves ample, the same tools amid COVID-related stress around March 2020, and since 2021 standing repo (SRP) operations, which "limit upward pressure and help provide a ceiling on rates". A ceiling is not the target — the page describes it as helping to limit upward pressure on market rates, which supports keeping the federal funds rate in the range; it does not say the traded rate cannot exceed the top of the band.[1]
The page carries a correction of its own
One footnote is worth reading as itself: "On July 10, 2024, this date was corrected from March 3, 2020, to March 4, 2020." The official record changed a date and said so on the page.[1]
What this page has not established
This page rests on one institution — the Federal Reserve Board's own site (its Open Market Operations page and the September 16, 2026 FOMC statement) — with no independent cross-check. It reports what that page says, not whether the policy worked.[1]
Not established: where the effective federal funds rate actually sits inside the current band, which administered rates are used alongside these tools (none are identified or defined on this source page), and whether any level in the table was later revised. The page's footer reads "Last Update: September 16, 2026" and its newest row is dated September 17, 2026, while the FOMC statement announcing the increase is dated September 16, 2026. The source page does not explain why the table uses September 17. Reference date: 2026-10-08.[1][2]
Verified facts
Each fact is labelled with its evidence typeEach fact in this section carries its evidence type — either cross-checked against independent sources, or confirmed from a single authoritative record.
The Federal Reserve Board's Open Market Operations page heads its policy-rate table "FOMC's target federal funds rate or range, change (basis points) and level", with the level given in a column headed "Level (%)". Its newest entry is dated September 17, 2026 — an increase of 25 basis points to a level of 3.75-4.00.[1] 1 source · authoritative record
On September 16, 2026 the FOMC announced that it had decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent.[2] 1 source · authoritative record
Statements and readings
Not counted as facts — each item shows what kind of statement it isFrom here on: statements not counted as facts — single-source reports, the issuing body’s own statements, and this page’s own readings, each labeled.
Entries dated December 16, 2008 and later give the level as two numbers (the December 16, 2008 row reads 0-0.25). Entries dated before that give one number (October 29, 2008 reads 1.00; December 11, 2007 reads 4.25).[1] Stated by the issuing body itself (primary source) · not independently verified · Federal Reserve Board, Open Market Operations — policy rate table
The page states that policy implementation "has evolved considerably since the financial crisis, and particularly so since late 2008 when the FOMC established a near-zero target range for the federal funds rate".[1] Stated by the issuing body itself (primary source) · not independently verified · Federal Reserve Board, Open Market Operations — narrative
It states that during normalization from December 2015 the Federal Reserve used overnight reverse repurchase agreements (ON RRPs) "as a supplementary policy tool, as necessary, to help control the federal funds rate and keep it in the target range set by the FOMC", and that since 2021 standing repo (SRP) operations "limit upward pressure and help provide a ceiling on rates".[1] Stated by the issuing body itself (primary source) · not independently verified · Federal Reserve Board, Open Market Operations — narrative
A footnote on the same table reads: "On July 10, 2024, this date was corrected from March 3, 2020, to March 4, 2020."[1] Stated by the issuing body itself (primary source) · not independently verified · Federal Reserve Board, Open Market Operations — footnote
Timeline
- 2008-12-16
The table's level format changes to two numbers, reading 0-0.25, with the decrease recorded as 75-100 basis points.[1]
- 2015-12
Normalization begins; the page describes ON RRPs used as a supplementary tool to help keep the federal funds rate in the target range.[1]
- 2021
The page states that standing repo (SRP) operations have been conducted since this year and help provide a ceiling on rates.[1]
- 2024-07-10
A footnote records that a table date was corrected from March 3, 2020 to March 4, 2020.[1]
- 2026-09-16
The FOMC announces an increase of 1/4 percentage point in the target range, to 3-3/4 to 4 percent.[2]
- 2026-09-17
Date the table gives for its newest row: an increase of 25 basis points to a level of 3.75-4.00.[1]
What this page could not establish
These are questions this page tried to answer and could not. The gaps are left open rather than filled with a guess.- Where the effective federal funds rate sits inside the current target range
- Why the Open Market Operations table dates the September 2026 increase September 17 when the FOMC statement announcing it is dated September 16
- The administered rates used alongside ON RRP and SRP
- Model
- claude-opus-5
- Time
- 09/24/2026, 18:16
- Body characters
- 3,348
- Sources
- 2 sources adopted
- Model
- ChatGPT (checked sources on the web)
- Time
- 10/08/2026, 22:30
- Verdict
- Revision required
Show revision history (3)
| 09/24/2026, 09:00 | First authored (claude-opus-5) | Created |
| 09/24/2026 | First version. Read the Federal Reserve Open Market Operations page line by line, including the table footnotes. | Updated |
| 10/08/2026 | Revised after independent review: added the September 16, 2026 FOMC statement, corrected the table-title quotation and narrowed the SRP and footnote readings. | Updated |
Corrections
| 10/08/2026 | The page treated the table's September 17, 2026 row date as the decision date; the FOMC statement announcing the increase is dated September 16, 2026, and is now cited. The table title was quoted with "(%)", which is the column heading, not part of the title. The standing repo passage no longer says it keeps the rate from rising through the top of the band; it now follows the source's wording. A sentence about who cited the corrected 2020 date was removed, since the footnote records only the correction. The administered-rates item now says none are identified on the source page, and the title and FAQ make clear that the FOMC sets a target range. | Applied |
Frequently asked
Is the Fed's target rate one number or two?
Two, for dates from December 16, 2008 onward. The FOMC sets a target range, not the traded (effective) rate. The Federal Reserve's table is headed "target federal funds rate or range" and the latest row gives the level as 3.75-4.00.[1]
When did it stop being a single number?
The table's format changes at December 16, 2008, whose level reads 0-0.25. Rows before it carry one number, such as 1.00 on October 29, 2008.[1]
What was the most recent change?
The FOMC announced on September 16, 2026 that it would raise the target range by 1/4 percentage point to 3-3/4 to 4 percent. The Open Market Operations table dates that row September 17, 2026, recording an increase of 25 basis points to 3.75-4.00.[1][2]
Does setting the range mean the market rate equals it?
The page treats them as separate problems. It describes ON RRPs used from December 2015 to help keep the federal funds rate in the range, and standing repo operations since 2021 that limit upward pressure and help provide a ceiling on rates.[1]
Where does the effective rate sit inside the band?
This page does not say. That figure is not on the source page it used.[1]
Official links
Sources
- [1] Open Market Operations primary
- [2] Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement (September 16, 2026) primary